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ForumsDiscussion Forum → Mars Mission (continuation of discussion from Republican Debate thread)
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Mars Mission (continuation of discussion from Republican Debate thread)
2007-11-30, 1:25 PM #1
To stop the derailing of the other thread, let's continue this here:

Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
I didn't say our current space program was a bad idea, I said spend the astronomical amounts required to send people back to the moon or to mars was.

Also, the examples you gave were poor, because those inventions were incidental to, rather than directly resultant of the space program. Any of those things could have been much more cheaply developed on earth. Those are just inventions that also happened to be useful for things other than their intended purpose as part of the space program. The Third Reich made similar contributions to society. The real benefit of the space program, of course, are communication satellites, which are incredibly useful.



Why would you say that? The best use of funding (if we had any) would be toward science that had some sort of benefit from man kind. Science that is useful >>>>> science that cool. On some level any research will be helpful, but it's idiotic to say that we should do the least useful stuff first. We want to do the opposite.

Again, we don't have any money to spend in the first place, so the point is moot. We need to stop sweeping things under the rug until it all blows up, or the little problems we whine about now will be insignificant compared to the major problems we will have.


Anyways, the first thing I'd like to point out is that you're not really against a Mars mission at all. Recently they released their plan for going to Mars, including cost estimates, and whether you take the low or high figure it can be done without increasing NASA's budget. So since your main beef with the idea is that you think it would take some large amount of extra money, well, it's really a moot point.

To give you an idea of the actual costs (because I see numbers like "trillions" thrown around which rather irks me), the estimate for a manned mission to Mars is between about 50 billion and 450 billion. And to further clear this up (because I saw someone on SA say, no joke, "since it's government spending it'll end up being 900 billion"), these estimates are for different types of missions. 50 billion is for the standard "Mars Direct" approach, which is really the most practical way to do it. 450 billion is the estimate for the crazy plan, the one with on-orbit construction of battleship-sized spacecraft, high-thrust nuclear thermal or electric propulsion, and teams of 30 people being sent to Mars per mission. I suppose it sounds cool but it would never happen because, well, it's too expensive. So let's take 50 billion as a reasonable estimate, and let's say "lol government funding" and even call it 100 billion. It sounds like a lot, but this cost will be spread out over at least 20 years. Not only is this easily do-able with NASA's current budget, it's really a drop in the bucket compared to total federal spending.

There's also the fact that the money is not wasted; the vast majority of it will go towards paying the salaries of the thousands of people who would be working on such a mission. So it goes right back into the economy.

Also I can't believe you tried to Godwin the thread. "The Third Reich made similar contributions to society." :gonk: Please tell me you weren't serious with comparing the space program to Nazi Germany.
Stuff
2007-11-30, 1:34 PM #2
So your argument is that its not wasteful spending because eventually it gets back into the economy?
Instead of wasting money we should use the money on something that matters and it will still get into the economy AND do something useful! Thats a novel idea!
2007-11-30, 1:37 PM #3
I have no idea what the other thread was about, but it seems to me that we should get our affairs on earth straight before we go space exploring. If private companies want to go about doing that, hurray for them. There's just always been something about the government doing it that didn't rest well with me.
2007-11-30, 1:37 PM #4
It'd be awesome if there are remains on Mars that indicate a civilization that never traveled to Earth because of political concerns.

It'd basically prove there's a God, and he's a cock.
"If you watch television news, you will know less about the world than if you just drink gin straight out of the bottle."
--Garrison Keillor
2007-11-30, 1:52 PM #5
Originally posted by Duo Maxwell:
So your argument is that its not wasteful spending because eventually it gets back into the economy?
Instead of wasting money we should use the money on something that matters and it will still get into the economy AND do something useful! Thats a novel idea!


No, that's not my argument at all; I merely included it because a lot of people think that space exploration is basically like taking piles of money and rocketing it into the sun, and I wanted to pre-empt that.

The fact is that we need to explore for the same reasons that we've always needed to explore. Sure you could say that going to Mars is a waste of time and money, the same way that 15th century Europeans could have said that going to America is a waste, and our more-furry ancestors could have said that even coming down from the trees in Africa was a waste.

Also there's a ton of exploitable resources on Mars and other places in the solar system, so it's not like space travel has no economic value. Yes, it may take a hundred years before we see any return on our investments. Is that a good reason not to do it? I think the answer is "no".

Originally posted by Axis:
I have no idea what the other thread was about, but it seems to me that we should get our affairs on earth straight before we go space exploring. If private companies want to go about doing that, hurray for them. There's just always been something about the government doing it that didn't rest well with me.


So, we should never explore space then? I think history will back me up if I make the extrapolation that our affairs will never be in order. There will always be something that you could look at and say "it's more important to solve this problem than to go into space".
Stuff
2007-11-30, 2:30 PM #6
Originally posted by kyle90:
The fact is that we need to explore for the same reasons that we've always needed to explore.
We also need to get off this rock before our species boils in a red giant.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2007-11-30, 2:40 PM #7
Originally posted by kyle90:
Anyways, the first thing I'd like to point out is that you're not really against a Mars mission at all. Recently they released their plan for going to Mars, including cost estimates, and whether you take the low or high figure it can be done without increasing NASA's budget. So since your main beef with the idea is that you think it would take some large amount of extra money, well, it's really a moot point.

Is 50-450 Billion in their current budget? That's a LOT of money.
Quote:
To give you an idea of the actual costs (because I see numbers like "trillions"
thrown around which rather irks me), the estimate for a manned mission to Mars is between about 50 billion and 450 billion. And to further clear this up (because I saw someone on SA say, no joke, "since it's government spending it'll end up being 900 billion"), these estimates are for different types of missions. 50 billion is for the standard "Mars Direct" approach, which is really the most practical way to do it. 450 billion is the estimate for the crazy plan, the one with on-orbit construction of battleship-sized spacecraft, high-thrust nuclear thermal or electric propulsion, and teams of 30 people being sent to Mars per mission. I suppose it sounds cool but it would never happen because, well, it's too expensive. So let's take 50 billion as a reasonable estimate, and let's say "lol government funding" and even call it 100 billion. It sounds like a lot, but this cost will be spread out over at least 20 years. Not only is this easily do-able with NASA's current budget, it's really a drop in the bucket compared to total federal spending.


My point is that NASA is spending a lot of money that we don't have, for things that don't really benefit anyone. It's not going to do anyone any good to know that we sent a guy to a baron rock in space when our economy has collapsed. Also, NASA doesn't really have a history of doing well on cost estimates for large scale projects. The Hubble was supposed to be 300 million, but all told it cost 2 billion.

Of course the idea of a space battleship is pretty awesome. How soon can we have the USS Daedalus up and running? :hist101:

Quote:
There's also the fact that the money is not wasted; the vast majority of it will go towards paying the salaries of the thousands of people who would be working on such a mission. So it goes right back into the economy.


By that logic the war in Iraq is good for the economy. All you're doing is stimulating the economy short run with increased government spending. The only time you want to ever do that is during a depression. In fact, the money we spent in the 1960s on the moon program in the 60s bore a lot of responsibility for the run away inflation and unemployment in the 70s.

Quote:
Also I can't believe you tried to Godwin the thread. "The Third Reich made similar contributions to society." :gonk: Please tell me you weren't serious with comparing the space program to Nazi Germany.


No, I'm not. I'm demonstration how any large scale effort that involves science will generate helpful inventions. The third Reich was the only example I could thing of.
2007-11-30, 2:44 PM #8
Damn Canadians and their Manifest Destiny!

:argh:
2007-11-30, 3:08 PM #9
Quote:
In fact, the money we spent in the 1960s on the moon program in the 60s bore a lot of responsibility for the run away inflation and unemployment in the 70s.


Yeah, I'm gonna have to step in and call shenanigans here...
COUCHMAN IS BACK BABY
2007-11-30, 3:11 PM #10
We could use it to possibly set up an asteroid mining mission.
But thats way WAY far off.
2007-11-30, 3:12 PM #11
Originally posted by Tracer:
Yeah, I'm gonna have to step in and call shenanigans here...


Take an econ class?
2007-11-30, 3:18 PM #12
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
Take an econ class?
If you have an argument, then back it up with supporting evidence. Leave the ad hominems out of it.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2007-11-30, 3:54 PM #13
He was the one being insulting.

Basically increased government spending in the 60s overheated the economy, caused the expect rate of inflation to go up and and shifted the Philips curve. I'm not really enough of an expert my self to properly explain it myself, but it's something you'd learn in macroeconomics.
2007-11-30, 3:58 PM #14
I am, too, interested in this space race heavily-influenced inflation and unemployment of the economy in the 70s.

Source?
SnailIracing:n(500tpostshpereline)pants
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2007-11-30, 3:58 PM #15
pics or it didn't happen
2007-11-30, 4:10 PM #16
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
He was the one being insulting.

Basically increased government spending in the 60s overheated the economy, caused the expect rate of inflation to go up and and shifted the Philips curve. I'm not really enough of an expert my self to properly explain it myself, but it's something you'd learn in macroeconomics.


Restating the claim does not take the place of supporting evidence. You don't have to be an expert; citing one would suffice.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2007-11-30, 4:16 PM #17
Interesting.
Got a source?
2007-11-30, 4:19 PM #18
Originally posted by Tiberium_Empire:
Interesting.
Got a source?


Do YOU?
2007-11-30, 4:39 PM #19
Originally posted by Freelancer:
Restating the claim does not take the place of supporting evidence. You don't have to be an expert; citing one would suffice.


I tried, but it was hard so I gave up.
2007-11-30, 4:49 PM #20
Jim Lovell would like to contribute.
"Flowers and a landscape were the only attractions here. And so, as there was no good reason for coming, nobody came."
2007-11-30, 5:03 PM #21
Space is dumb, it doesn't have any aliens or battles like in the books so why would we go there, if I wanted to look at a bunch of orange rocks I could go to Arizona
2007-11-30, 5:09 PM #22
Personally, I think Mars IS a waste of money. Jupiter however, is rumored to have near endless quantities of supposedly fusion good Helium-3 and mining resources is always easier when there's no gravity wells involved so extra points to near Earth asteroid and Lunar mining.

Unless we discover that all that red sand is actually just a thin layer covering a planet sized diamond field, I don't think Mars will ever not be a waste of time and/or money on some level.
<Rob> This is internet.
<Rob> Nothing costs money if I don't want it to.
2007-11-30, 7:20 PM #23
...that was insulting?

But seriously, if you want to participate in THIS HERE INTERNETS DEBATE YEEHAW you need to provide some kind of sources for you claims. Like, saying "take an econ class" when I call you on something doesn't advance your position any.

edit 2 - I mean, I just did about ten minutes of research and according to wikipedia, the '61-'69 Apollo program cost $135 billion whereas the Vietnam War racked up $120 billion from '65-'73. So I would suggest that the American economic situation in the 1970's was slightly more complicated than you make it out to be.
COUCHMAN IS BACK BABY
2007-11-30, 7:51 PM #24
I said it was a part of it, not all of it.

Deficit government spending raises GDP. When the economy is overheated like that it raises inflation, which would have been ok, but there were supply shocks and that screwed everything up. If the government hadn't over heated the economy, it's wouldn't have been as big a problem.

Like I said before, I don't really know the material well enough to explain it very well. Honestly, I don't care if you disagree with me, it's an aside that doesn't really have anything to do with the subject at hand. If you really want to know more take an econ class. You think I'm making some sort of a stand here, but a really don't care.

EDIT: I said "stop whining" twice, and upon retrospect I realized it was redundant and annoying.
2007-11-30, 7:52 PM #25
Fair enough. I'll go eat a gun now.

:suicide:
COUCHMAN IS BACK BABY
2007-11-30, 7:55 PM #26
Well you are kinda... making a stand.
I do believe by definition you are.
2007-11-30, 7:56 PM #27
Originally posted by Tiberium_Empire:
Well you are kinda... making a stand.
I do believe by definition you are.


Than you are an idiot.
2007-11-30, 7:57 PM #28
Way to get angry at the internet.
2007-11-30, 8:02 PM #29
Sense when do I need to be angry to bash the annoying guy who tries pathetically hard to be popular by sucking up to the general opinion when ever he can?

Oh, and mimicking rob? Ha!
2007-11-30, 8:03 PM #30
Im sure everyone still wants those sources.
You can't run from it just by telling tracer to stop whining and calling me an idiot.
2007-11-30, 8:17 PM #31
Just...stop it..[http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v308/Echoness101/carl-1.png]
SnailIracing:n(500tpostshpereline)pants
-----------------------------@%
2007-11-30, 9:47 PM #32
I think Obi needs to stop telling other people to take econ classes. He may as well have said nothing, as it did not advance his position in the least and actually hurt it.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2007-11-30, 10:01 PM #33
Quote:
I think Obi needs to stop telling other people to take econ classes. He may as well have said nothing, as it did not advance his position in the least and actually hurt it.


Quote:
Honestly, I don't care if you disagree with me, it's an aside that doesn't really have anything to do with the subject at hand. If you really want to know more take an econ class. You think I'm making some sort of a stand here, but a really don't care.


:rolleyes: Reading is awesome.

Either that or you can't comprehend the fact that I really don't care what you think about the subject, and don't want to argue it.
2007-11-30, 10:03 PM #34
If you're going to slink away everytime you're called out on your BS you should just refrain from making bold, unconventional statements in the first place.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2007-11-30, 10:09 PM #35
Oh, yeah, I'm "slinking" out by admitting that I unintentionally brought up a subject that I was not prepared to, and am unwilling to support. Just because I don't know the subject well enough to properly explain it doesn't mean I'm wrong.

Oh, but yeah, keep on beating the dead horse into the ground. It's important that you win the thread.
2007-11-30, 10:10 PM #36
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
Just because I don't know the subject well enough to properly explain it doesn't mean I'm wrong.

You don't know the subject at all, you're just reciting some conservative bull**** you picked up from a teacher, family member or other person that you look up to. But you don't want to admit that your viewpoint could be wrong, so you'll continue to lie to yourself so that your beliefs line up with how you'd like the world to work, instead of how it actually does.

:armchairpsychologist:
Bassoon, n. A brazen instrument into which a fool blows out his brains.
2007-11-30, 10:36 PM #37
Yeah, your arguments against my views have been amazing compelling, or at least I assume they would be, had they existed.

I have simply admitted that my statement about the economic impact of the moon program is too far beyond my understanding of the subject to properly argue or articulate it. Now every arm chair economist they have free licence to call me an idiot because it seems "weird". So yeah, you win the thread. Have fun with that.
2007-11-30, 11:03 PM #38
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
Yeah, your arguments against my views have been amazing compelling, or at least I assume they would be, had they existed.

I never claimed to make any arguments. I'm just making fun of you. Wow, you've even managed to work in a strawman fallacy outside of a debate. You bring about a new level of fail.
Bassoon, n. A brazen instrument into which a fool blows out his brains.
2007-12-01, 8:50 AM #39
Originally posted by Emon:
I never claimed to make any arguments. I'm just making fun of you. Wow, you've even managed to work in a strawman fallacy outside of a debate. You bring about a new level of fail.


If you claim I'm wrong but don't make any arguments for it, you're doing the exact same thing you accuse me of doing.
2007-12-01, 4:12 PM #40
Obi: Learn the difference between "Then" and "Than," and the difference between "Since" and "Sense."
My girlfriend paid a lot of money for that tv; I want to watch ALL OF IT. - JM
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