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Place your bets here
2008-11-04, 2:03 PM #1
330 electoral votes for Obama
2008-11-04, 2:06 PM #2
Over 9000! for Vegiemaster/mb.
Naked Feet are Happy Feet
:omgkroko:
2008-11-04, 2:09 PM #3
Obama will win the vote, only to have the supreme court declare him unable to run in a month due to the appealed lawsuit.


Seriously though, it will be close popularly. It could be a landslide electorally, but I'm hoping McCain can squeak by with ~273 votes.
It took a while for you to find me; I was hiding in the lime tree.
2008-11-04, 4:03 PM #4
Hoping for McCain, but I would not be surprised in the slightest if Obama wins.

Did he ever prove his citizenship? I remember someone trying to make that an issue a while back.
woot!
2008-11-04, 4:04 PM #5
I wanna know how many Ron Paul write-ins there are.
"it is time to get a credit card to complete my financial independance" — Tibby, Aug. 2009
2008-11-04, 4:12 PM #6
his birth cirtificate is Hawaiian.

and he was born to an american mother.

that makes him american.

Originally posted by http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_nationality_law:
Birth within the United States

Main article: Birthright citizenship in the United States of America

The Supreme Court has never explicitly ruled on whether children born in the United States to illegal immigrant parents are entitled to birthright citizenship via the 14th Amendment,[2] although it has generally been assumed that they are.[3]. This has become controversial, as some non-residents enter the US as illegal aliens with the intent to give birth to children. A birth certificate is considered evidence of citizenship. This differs from most western nations; countries of the European Union which awarded citizenship to children born there (such as Ireland) closed this possibility.

In the case of United States v. Wong Kim Ark, 169 U.S. 649 (1898), the Supreme Court ruled that a person who

* is born in the United States
* of parents who, at the time of his birth, are subjects of a foreign power
* whose parents have a permanent domicile and residence in the United States
* whose parents are there carrying on business and are not employed in any diplomatic or official capacity of the foreign power to which they are subject

becomes, at the time of his birth, a citizen of the United States, by virtue of the first clause of the 14th amendment of the Constitution.

Through birth abroad to one United States citizen

For persons born on or after November 14, 1986, a person is a U.S. citizen if all of the following are true:[4]

1. One of the person's parents was a U.S. citizen when the person in question was born;
2. The citizen parent lived at least 5 years in the United States before his or her child's birth; and
3. At least 2 of these 5 years in the United States were after the citizen parent's 14th birthday.

A person's record of birth abroad, if registered with a U.S. consulate or embassy, is proof of his or her citizenship. Such a person may also apply for a passport or a Certificate of Citizenship to have a record of his or her citizenship. Such documentation is often useful to prove citizenship in lieu of the availability of an American birth certificate.

Different rules apply for persons born abroad to one U.S. citizen before November 14, 1986. United States law on this subject changed multiple times throughout the twentieth century, and the law as it existed at the time of the individual's birth controls.


and here is the statute that existed at the time of obama's birth

Originally posted by http://www.aca.ch/hisuscit.htm:
1934 Act of May 24, 1934, Section 1, 48 Stat. 797.


"Any child hereafter born out of the limits and jurisdiction of the United States, whose father or mother or both at the time of birth of such child is a citizen of the United States, is declared to be a citizen of the United States: but the rights of citizenship shall not descend to any such child unless the citizen father or citizen mother, as the case may be, has resided in the United States previous to the birth of such child. In cases where one of the parents is an alien, the right of citizenship shall not descend unless the child comes to the United States and resides therein for at least five years continuously immediately previous to his eighteenth birthday, and unless, within six months after the child's twenty-first birthday, he or she shall take an oath of allegiance to the United States of America as prescribed by the Bureau of Naturalization."
My girlfriend paid a lot of money for that tv; I want to watch ALL OF IT. - JM
2008-11-04, 4:14 PM #7
I'm just going to throw out a random 291 for Obama.
一个大西瓜
2008-11-04, 4:16 PM #8
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23887017

Ha. Go McCain! :p
If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice.

Lassev: I guess there was something captivating in savagery, because I liked it.
2008-11-04, 4:32 PM #9
Dude, it's Kentucky :haw:
Bassoon, n. A brazen instrument into which a fool blows out his brains.
2008-11-04, 4:40 PM #10
And indiana partially... so far.
If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice.

Lassev: I guess there was something captivating in savagery, because I liked it.
2008-11-04, 4:48 PM #11
And West Virginia according to some networks. And south carolina.
一个大西瓜
2008-11-04, 5:07 PM #12
Originally posted by Sarn_Cadrill:


Quote:
John McCain will win Kentucky and South Carolina, while Barack Obama will take Vermont, CNN projects based on exit polls.


LMFAO...I could have told you that last year...as could anyone else up here.. :P
woot!
2008-11-04, 5:12 PM #13
Yeah. *shrug*
If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice.

Lassev: I guess there was something captivating in savagery, because I liked it.
2008-11-04, 5:47 PM #14
Well looks like we've got a horse race.
If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice.

Lassev: I guess there was something captivating in savagery, because I liked it.
2008-11-04, 7:19 PM #15
Looks like my state is important this year. Yah!
2008-11-04, 7:25 PM #16
Well Obama has basically won.
Bassoon, n. A brazen instrument into which a fool blows out his brains.
2008-11-04, 7:27 PM #17
Unless networks are wrong. If Ohio gets pulled out of the Obama column (pretty unlikely, but the realtime counts are tightening up) then there will be an uproar haha.

Or if Californians decided not to vote anymore cuz they think Obama has won and hell freezes over and California goes for McCain. If that happens I'm going to yell at everyone I see here for an indeterminate amount of time.
一个大西瓜
2008-11-04, 7:28 PM #18
Obama gets 364.
If you think the waiters are rude, you should see the manager.
2008-11-05, 10:03 AM #19
Originally posted by Ford:
his birth cirtificate is Hawaiian.

and he was born to an american mother.

that makes him american.



and here is the statute that existed at the time of obama's birth


That's not the issue.
It took a while for you to find me; I was hiding in the lime tree.
2008-11-05, 10:06 AM #20
Originally posted by UltimatePotato:
That's not the issue.


if the issue isnt that they are claiming hes not an american citizen, then what is it, because all the articles i've found about the lawsuit stated that he didnt hold citizenship.
My girlfriend paid a lot of money for that tv; I want to watch ALL OF IT. - JM
2008-11-05, 10:29 AM #21
I think this thread should now discuss placing bets on how many days/months after he is sworn in, til he is shot.

In which case, I'd say three months.
"They're everywhere, the little harlots."
-Martyn
2008-11-05, 10:31 AM #22
We will not discuss that in this thread. It is pointless.
2008-11-05, 10:34 AM #23
Originally posted by Onimusha.:
I think this thread should now discuss placing bets on how many days/months after he is sworn in, til he is shot.

In which case, I'd say three months.


Bush has not been shot.
2008-11-05, 10:47 AM #24
Bush is a mason :tinfoil:
"They're everywhere, the little harlots."
-Martyn
2008-11-05, 10:59 AM #25
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
Bush has not been shot.


Most Bush-haters are also gun-haters. :tinfoil:
woot!
2008-11-05, 11:07 AM #26
Originally posted by Obi_Kwiet:
Bush has not been shot.


Bush isn't black.
The bets are generally on for some racist nut-job to take Obama down.
You can't judge a book by it's file size
2008-11-05, 11:17 AM #27
Originally posted by Deadman:
Bush isn't black.
The bets are generally on for some racist nut-job to take Obama down.


Neither is Obama. He's brown-ish. :ninja:
woot!
2008-11-05, 3:23 PM #28
Originally posted by Ford:
if the issue isnt that they are claiming hes not an american citizen, then what is it, because all the articles i've found about the lawsuit stated that he didnt hold citizenship.


It also states that regardless, he would have lost his citizenship via attending school in Indonesia.
It took a while for you to find me; I was hiding in the lime tree.
2008-11-05, 3:27 PM #29
Nonsense. You don't lose citizenship based on where you go to school. You can only lose it by being explicitly expatriated. Either by your choice or by committing treason.
2008-11-05, 3:49 PM #30
Originally posted by UltimatePotato:
It also states that regardless, he would have lost his citizenship via attending school in Indonesia.


And that's completely wrong. It's possible (though I don't know of any reliable evidence) that he was a dual citizen as a child. If that were the case, his Indonesian citizenship would have lapsed as a result of his establishing a permanent residence in the U.S. by the age of 25.
If you think the waiters are rude, you should see the manager.
2008-11-05, 6:46 PM #31
The case's reasoning is that Indonesia did not allow dual citizenship at that particular time in their history, and to attend school at that same time you would have had to been an Indonesian citizen, which would have technically renounced his "natural born" status.

I don't know the laws for citizenship nowadays, so I don't know everything about it. The case will probably end up not being heard by the court because Berg lacks standing.
It took a while for you to find me; I was hiding in the lime tree.

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