Mort-Hog
If moral relativism is wrong, I don't wanna be right.
Posts: 4,192
The 1994 US-NK nuclear pact provided that North Korea would dismantle its nuclear weapons program, and the US, Japan and South Korea would provide aid. But in 1999, when North Korea had sofar carried out everything the pact had demanded, economic sanctions against North Korea were still in place, and full diplomatic relations between the US and NK had not been established. NK warned that they would resume their nuclear research unless the US lifted the sanctions and started diplomatic talks.
The sensible thing here would be for the US to say "okay", lift the sanctions, and start talking with NK. Yes, they would probably want to keep a close eye on what was going on, to make sure the aid wasn't being misused. And they'd have to put a lot of effort into the diplomacy, to get agreements that would benefit everyone. The US could probably prolong the diplomacy, and eventually get what they wanted. Engaging in diplomatic talks would be in the interests of the US and very much in the interests of NK.
But, in 1999, the US simply said "no". The US just demanded that NK must not resume their nuclear weapons program, and repeated that whenever NK said anything.
So NK says "screw you", and construction of the first reactor began in August 2002.
That's three years of the US refusing to have anything to do with NK, and threatening them with military action. Three years that they could have spent in diplomatic talks, sorting out the situation, the US spent repeating violent rhettoric that only intimidated and aggrivated NK, declaring them part of an "axis of evil".
China has done a good job of negociating with NK, and they've probably calmed the situation considerably, but NK wanted diplomatic talks with the US and they were ignored.
And this isn't just an issue with Bush, Clinton is just as much to blame, as is Bush Snr.
Also...
I don't think there's any way NK could attack the US mainland, not unless they smuggle the nuclear weapon into Europe and launch it from there. They might be able to smuggle it into eastern Europe, Czech Republic perhaps, but I don't know if that's close enough. It probably isn't.
No, the intended target would probably be American allies, South Korea or Japan.
But like I said, North Korea wouldn't benefit at all from a nuclear attack. They'd lose one very expensive missile, and they'd also lose all bargaining power.
There's no way North Korea could hold up against the US in a conventional war, they would be overthrown. It would be far more violent than Iraq, but it'd happen eventually.
However, with the introduction of nuclear weapons, the US can no longer do that. As soon as North Korea feels threatened, as soon as they see the planes, or the boats, they just have to press the button, and boom there goes Tokyo or Seoul. They know they're going to be overthrown, so they have nothing left to lose.
I don't think Japan or South Korea will accept that as 'collateral damage'.
"The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt. " - Bertrand Russell
The Triumph of Stupidity in Mortals and Others 1931-1935