I like how the french prime minister admits Iran is probably involved, but still won't raise a hand against them becoming a nuclear power. France could crush Iran. And that's saying a lot, remember - they're French.
The Lebonese government is in a tight spot here - they are responsible for the actions of their citizens, but are powerless to stop them or bring them to justice. And, of course, it is true that the Lebonese leaders were elected democratically. The problem, as is so often the case in the area, is that as soon as they were elected, they abolished all further elections. It's not a four years and another election system like we have, and it's not a limited power position either. They are essentially voting on their next dictator - just like Germany in the 30s.
Heres my prediction of what will happen:
Isreal will find some way to prove to the UN that Iran is backing the militants in southern Lebanon.
Isreal will then, naturally, declare war on Iran. Afterall, if the militants are backed by a government, then the kidnapping of Isreali soldiers is an act of war on the part of that government.
Because the US is strongly allied with Isreal, we will have no choice but to support them.
Iran's support from China and Russia will suddenly vanish. Those countries only support Iran because it annoys us; but continuing to support Iran in war would draw them into it as well.
Iran will be crushed. American soldiers on both sides of Iran, in Iraq and Pakistan, will mow through the country and meet in the middle.
We can only pray that someone more capable to adminster this sort of war than Rumsfield will be put in charge, and the mistakes made in Iraq won't be made all over again.
Eventually, a democratic government will be set up in Iran. It won't happen overnight, like everyone seems to think it should. Most likely, it won't be firmly in place until the next generation grows up and takes over.
Sounds like too long a road to me. I say we just nuke them and siphon their oil out by slant drilling from kuwait. Or we can skip the democratic government part (after all, we havn't got one of them ourselves!) and just annex them. Maybe in a few decades they could petition for statehood, and we could finally start to see our manifest destiny to become the United States of Earth.