Originally posted by Eversor:
The high-level handwavy economics definition of competitive advantage is having a lower opportunity cost than your competitors, i.e. your competitors either have bigger fish to fry, or you genuinely can deliver your product at lower prices than your competitors can.Well, it's never a good idea to cite someone's own words back at them and tell them what they really meant, but...
Seems pretty clear that you were using moat as competitive advantage here. (Something is still a moat even if its not effective. It's just a bad moat.) But I'm not going to push too hard on this. (And, whatever, you can claim there's some amount of ambiguity in the scare quotes surrounding the word "moat").
And it's also pretty clear that Buffett was also using the term to mean competitive advantage when he first said it here in 1999:
http://archive.fortune.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1999/11/22/269071/index.htm
Mind you, competitive advantage includes economic rents, but it's not reducible to or coterminous with it.
Seems pretty clear that you were using moat as competitive advantage here. (Something is still a moat even if its not effective. It's just a bad moat.) But I'm not going to push too hard on this. (And, whatever, you can claim there's some amount of ambiguity in the scare quotes surrounding the word "moat").
And it's also pretty clear that Buffett was also using the term to mean competitive advantage when he first said it here in 1999:
http://archive.fortune.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1999/11/22/269071/index.htm
Mind you, competitive advantage includes economic rents, but it's not reducible to or coterminous with it.
To a large extent, both fall away when your competitor is a well-capitalized conglomerate. A conglomerate is both well-equipped to seize upon profitable opportunities as they arise (effectively turning your carefully planned and profitable startup into free market research) and willing/able to subsidize an inefficient new business unit until it can drive you out of business and monopolize your market. In an economy so unequal and dominated by large corporations, the only durable competitive advantages are the ones conferred by governments: copyrights, trademarks, patents, and to a much lesser degree, trade secrets. Any other kind of ‘moat’ can be bought.
A non-durable but possibly good-enough competitive advantage is whether you can develop a business unit more efficiently than your competitor can. But that’s only a hopeful statement if the business you want to be in is digging moats for conglomerates to buy at a discount.
Originally posted by Eversor:
Honestly, nobody could have foreseen the depths of depravity of the US government working with finance to inflate these asset bubbles. It’s bewildering and horrifying. Buffet was right to be skeptical about future stock market growth, but that was also published 10 days after Glass-Steagall was repealed.Heh, the end of Buffett's talk (which was from 1999):
Buffets pretty smart, he also knows how much boosting he got from 401ks. If boomers had retired as young as their parents the stock market would look a fair bit different too. That’s another thing nobody could have really predicted.
Originally posted by Eversor:
Go figure that Louis Brandeis coined this term! The left should really talk more about Brandeis. It seems like in Brandeis there's a relevant and moral (and economic) vision of America that could be retrieved and tied to an historical figure as a way of casting economic reform as something that's genuinely American, rather than as something that's un-American (which is a move that many conservatives make, for example, when they cast the rise of the DSA and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez' primary win as heralding the "Europeanization" of American politics. They also sometimes say the same thing about Trump, as if "populism" were some kind of foreign import that has no precedent in American history and so must have come from without).
Originally posted by Eversor:
One objection to calling it “populism” (without adjectives) is because there are many populist movements. Including socialism. There are also left-wing nationalist movements, mostly those seeking sub-national autonomy, and even nationalists that see socialism as a way to eliminate undue foreign influences.Anyone else notice how the terminology for what Trump, Geert Wilders, Marine Le Pen and, formerly, UKIP, keeps changing? It's been a long time since we called it neo-nationalism, but in some ways I think that was the most apt term for it. Populism isn't horrible, inasmuch as it captures the aspirations of the masses to disrupt the political and cultural elites' hold on power and elect leaders that more directly pursue the interests of "the masses" against the more privileged classes in society -- certainly relevant. But I think neo-nationalism captures better the discontent with the perceived decline of national sovereignty given the current state of the international system. Responding to weakening national sovereignty in the face of "globalism" seems very much to be the impulse behind "America First", for example.
I just call it fascism now. :shrug: