From a purely factual point of view (I'm trying not to be partisan) the whole thing is fishy. I was not a detective, though I did participate in several investigations and had to testify in court numerous times. This may all sound a bit tinfoil hat on my part, but here are my thoughts nonetheless.
- One of them must be lying, or at least, Dr. Ford is mistaken about the identity of her attacker(s).
- Feinstein has been sitting on this for months, but waits until the vote is incipient. It was not raised during the contentious hearings as would be expected.
- Feinstein also has some doubts about the veracity of the allegations.
- Refusing to testify is highly suspicious. The initial victim statement is the roadmap for the investigation and tells investigators where to go. Even if she is not willing to testify before the senate, a statement has to be given for any investigation to proceed. It's just how an investigation works.
- She cannot name a date, time, or place for the event, other than "it was summertime," but school is out in summertime.
- It's been so long, the statute of limitations has likely been exhausted (I haven't looked up the specific rules for that locale, so this may not be correct), so there would be no prosecution.
- There will be no physical evidence due to the amount of time that has passed, and the only witness is apparently disinclined to testify.
- The notes her therapist provided do not match her account of the story.
- She has confessed to underage drinking at the time of the incident, making any testimony she may give unreliable. She cannot remember how she got to or left the party.
I can't find any sources that agree with Joncy that the Kavanaugh support letter came out
before the accusatory letter was written in July, only that it came out very shortly after the accusatory letter became widespread in mid-Sept.
You won't find a law enforcement agency on earth that would investigate this claim. From a purely strategic point of view, this is a godsend for Democrats looking to derail the already shaky confirmation. In the MeToo era, an allegation (true or not) is a death sentence. An impossible to disprove allegation is even better.
I have a soft spot in my heart for victims of sexual crimes. My father is the biological result of a sexual crime, and several of my family have been victims. Some of the worst days of my life were spent with victims and their families after a crime. I know how traumatic it is. That said, I also believe in due process. I hope the truth comes out and she gets whatever justice she's due. I hope it doesn't become a big partisan mess and that proper order is followed, and no one omits or alters any steps for political purposes.